fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Thats Changing. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Saturday, February 25, 2023. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. They determine whether we live in a free or repres Thanks! We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. What does it take to make democracy work? In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. The data behind that evolution is striking. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Local news is disappearing across the country. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. 9 days ago. Edit your transcribed text. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. Preview of Spotify. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. police- settlements. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. 2,. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021.